BirdAnalyst
Species · Missouri · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Missouri

All statesBirds of prey

Cooper's Hawk in Missouri has surged: up 148% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+148%Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
58Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cooper's Hawk Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cooper's Hawk in Missouri. See the full index history below.

Cooper's Hawk Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.11 (95% range 0.03–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±65.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Missouri is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.11 (95% range 0.03–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19732030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.100.030.18
20270.100.030.18
20280.100.030.18
20290.100.030.18
20300.110.030.18

Cooper's Hawk Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Marshfield320122006
Handley219901990
Diamond220152015
Trenton220172017
Clementine 2220062006
Frankford220052004
Deventer120121984
Pulaski120231983
Peace Valley119981981
Sweden119881980
Cassville120051993
Pineville120231982
Cp Girardeau120242003
Cascade120081978
Ironton119801980
Akers120142003
Wesco119771977
Clementine120021976
Graydon120251993
Filley120162016
Norborne120222022
New Hampton120242019
Hayden120252015
Danville120111984
Syracuse120181973

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.