Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Clay-colored Sparrow Population Trend in Minnesota
Clay-colored Sparrow in Minnesota has held roughly steady: up 2% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+2%Since 1969
85Routes In State
57Years
Notable Clay-colored Sparrow Trends in Minnesota
No notable trend signals for Clay-colored Sparrow in Minnesota. See the full index history below.
Clay-colored Sparrow Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Clay-colored Sparrow in Minnesota is projected to rise about 40% by 2029 — from 4.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 3.8–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±80.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+40%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
3.8–9.295% range
±80.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 9.1 |
| 2026 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 9.1 |
| 2027 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 9.1 |
| 2028 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 9.2 |
| 2029 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 9.2 |
Clay-colored Sparrow Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Oklee | 36 | 2021 | 1969 |
| Bagley | 32 | 2006 | 1995 |
| Lake Bronson | 27 | 2011 | 1978 |
| Badger | 26 | 2018 | 1978 |
| Greenbush | 24 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Big Stone | 24 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Grygla | 21 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Edwards | 18 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Debs | 18 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Knapp | 17 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Beltrami | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Brook Park | 16 | 2024 | 1998 |
| New London | 15 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Appleton | 14 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Erie | 13 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Tracy | 13 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Glyndon | 11 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Warroad | 11 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Ashby | 10 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Chokio | 9 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Little Fork | 9 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Glenwood | 9 | 2019 | 1993 |
| St Stephen | 8 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Wylie | 8 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Brainerd | 8 | 2024 | 1993 |
Clay-colored Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.