Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chukar Population Trend in Utah
Chukar in Utah has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-65%Since 1971
40Routes In State
44Years
Notable Chukar Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Chukar has fallen sharply in Utah: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Chukar Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Chukar in Utah is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±128.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±128.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Chukar Survey Routes in Utah
| Leamington | 34 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Promontory | 20 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Shivwitz | 16 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Wendover | 12 | 1974 | 1970 |
| Johnson Can | 11 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Book Ridge | 9 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | 7 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Bonanza | 7 | 2006 | 2002 |
| Castleton | 4 | 1976 | 1969 |
| Timpie Spg | 3 | 2003 | 1980 |
| Glen Canyon | 3 | 2016 | 1998 |
| Gold Hill | 3 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Oak City | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Callao | 2 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Fayette | 2 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Jericho Junction | 2 | 2023 | 2001 |
| Westwater | 2 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Hardware Ranch | 2 | 2016 | 2000 |
| Salt Springs | 1 | 2018 | 1988 |
| E. Bear Lake | 1 | 2018 | 1996 |
| Goshen | 1 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Desert View | 1 | 2017 | 2007 |
| Hite | 1 | 2007 | 2006 |
| Lynn | 1 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Randolph | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
Chukar Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.