Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-throated Gray Warbler Population Trend in Utah
Black-throated Gray Warbler in Utah has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
-18%Since 1977
60Routes In State
43Years
Notable Black-throated Gray Warbler Trends in Utah
No notable trend signals for Black-throated Gray Warbler in Utah. See the full index history below.
Black-throated Gray Warbler Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Black-throated Gray Warbler in Utah is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.59 (95% range 0.02–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+8%Change by 2029
0.59Projected 2029 index
0.02–1.295% range
±25.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
Black-throated Gray Warbler Survey Routes in Utah
| Shivwitz | 18 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Glen Canyon | 9 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Newcastle | 7 | 2022 | 1997 |
| Willow Creek | 6 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Alton 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Oak City | 4 | 2014 | 2004 |
| Arches Np | 4 | 2010 | 1991 |
| Canyonlands | 4 | 2006 | 1991 |
| Grouse Creek | 4 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Hanna | 4 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Vernon | 3 | 2023 | 2016 |
| Moab | 3 | 2012 | 1992 |
| Cane Spr Des | 3 | 1993 | 1992 |
| Lost Cr. Res | 2 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Altonah | 2 | 2015 | 1999 |
| Castleton | 2 | 1985 | 1977 |
| Navajo Lake | 2 | 2003 | 1968 |
| Boulder | 2 | 2021 | 1974 |
| Hite | 2 | 2015 | 1993 |
| Moon Lake | 2 | 2002 | 2001 |
| Gooseberry | 2 | 2006 | 1997 |
| Vernal | 2 | 2018 | 2016 |
| Bicknell | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Alton | 2 | 2017 | 1997 |
| Ant Flat-Ogden Can | 2 | 1999 | 1994 |
Black-throated Gray Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.