Species · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-throated Gray Warbler Population Trend in Colorado
Black-throated Gray Warbler in Colorado has surged: up 215% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+215%Since 1975
40Routes In State
48Years
Notable Black-throated Gray Warbler Trends in Colorado
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-throated Gray Warbler has surged in Colorado: up 215% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Black-throated Gray Warbler Population Forecast in Colorado
If the recent trend holds, Black-throated Gray Warbler in Colorado is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 0.59 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.69 (95% range 0.39–0.99). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
0.69Projected 2029 index
0.39–0.9995% range
±33.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.95 |
| 2026 | 0.66 | 0.36 | 0.96 |
| 2027 | 0.67 | 0.37 | 0.97 |
| 2028 | 0.68 | 0.38 | 0.98 |
| 2029 | 0.69 | 0.39 | 0.99 |
Black-throated Gray Warbler Survey Routes in Colorado
| Wray Gulch | 18 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Angora | 15 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Baxter Pass | 12 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Mesaverde Np | 9 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Dinosaur | 5 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Douglas Pass | 4 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Blackhead Pk | 4 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Wilson Creek | 3 | 2019 | 1996 |
| Nucla | 3 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Rosevale | 2 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Uncompahgre | 2 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Basin | 2 | 2019 | 1999 |
| Browns Park | 2 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Pinon | 2 | 2021 | 2013 |
| Rifle Falls | 2 | 2018 | 1998 |
| Cone Mtn | 2 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Maybell | 1 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Buford | 1 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Aspen | 1 | 2014 | 1979 |
| Delta | 1 | 2021 | 1973 |
| Falfa | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Villegreen | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Gribbles Prk | 1 | 2021 | 2007 |
| Animas | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| South Fork | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
Black-throated Gray Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.