BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in Texas has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+4%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
157Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Texas. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Texas is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 7.1–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.1–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±71%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Texas is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 7.1–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025167.224
2026167.224
2027167.224
2028167.224
2029167.124

American Crow Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording American Crow in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Smyrna11720101995
Mt. Selman7920241998
Oak Grove7519991967
Liberty Hill7320231968
Chandler7120041968
Caledonia7020241969
Sadler6920241969
Chandler 26520242005
Smyrna 26520232011
Lydia6020231967
Mcfaddin6020162006
Thornton5819841968
Gambill Ref.5520241995
Goliad Prairie5520162004
Union Hill5320241994
Muldoon5220241970
Bon Wier5220241996
Cottonwood4720241967
Weches4720241995
Athens4620241968
Glen Rose4520241967
Fred4520241995
Paige4520242015
Williams4120241996
Gause4019971967

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.