BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in Texas has edged up: up 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+20%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
158Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Texas. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 16 (95% range 7.1–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.1–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±50%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 16 (95% range 7.1–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026167.224
2027167.124
2028167.124
2029167.124
2030167.124

American Crow Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording American Crow in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Smyrna11720101995
Diboll9920251968
Sadler9420251969
Caledonia9320251969
Arenosa Crk9020251968
Moon Lake 28120252012
Mt. Selman7620251998
Oak Grove7519991967
Chandler7120041968
Chandler 26520242005
Crossroads6120251967
Weches6120251995
Mcfaddin6020162006
Livingston5820251969
Thornton5819841968
Liberty Hill5620251968
Paige5620252015
Lydia5520251967
Goliad Prairie5520162004
Selden5420251968
Union Hill5320241994
Smyrna 25020252011
Athens4920251968
Easton 24820252014
Bon Wier4420251996

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.