BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in Kentucky has edged down: down 21% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-21%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 31 (95% range 22–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
22–4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 31 (95% range 22–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026322241
2027312241
2028312240
2029312240
2030312240

American Crow Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording American Crow in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Morganfield11220252022
Daniel Boone9519881966
Million6619861966
Cumberlnd Gp6320181966
Staffordsvil6319971996
Beattyville6020011966
Levee5519821966
Glencoe5220221966
Shiloh5120251967
Hodgenville5120031967
Sunnybrook5020221968
Bardwell 24820252006
Joy4720231966
Mckee4520251967
Eastview4520251967
Pine Ridge4319781966
Kehoe4319921966
Sewell Shop4120251966
Monticello3920221968
Lovelacevile3820251967
Iron Bridge3819981966
Brownsville3420242022
Goshen3419991966
Paintsville3319951979
Million 23320242006

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.