BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in Kentucky has edged down: down 16% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-16%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 31 (95% range 22–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
22–4195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Kentucky is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 31 (95% range 22–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025322341
2026322241
2027322241
2028312241
2029312241

American Crow Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording American Crow in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Daniel Boone9519881966
Million6619861966
Cumberlnd Gp6320181966
Mckee6320241967
Staffordsvil6319971996
Beattyville6020011966
Levee5519821966
Morganfield5320242022
Glencoe5220221966
Lovelacevile5120241967
Hodgenville5120031967
Sunnybrook5020221968
Joy4720231966
Porter4420241966
Pine Ridge4319781966
Kehoe4319921966
Riverqueen4220242007
Bardwell 24220242006
Apex4020242005
Monticello3920221968
Canton3820241967
Iron Bridge3819981966
Hudson3820241966
Brownsville3420242022
Goshen3419991966

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.