BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in New Mexico has edged up: up 16% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+16%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
38Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in New MexicoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in New Mexico is projected to rise about 95% by 2029 — from 0.94 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.39–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±126%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+95%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.39–3.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±126%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in New Mexico is projected to rise about 95% by 2029 — from 0.94 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.39–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±126%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.80.373.2
20261.80.383.2
20271.80.383.2
20281.80.393.2
20291.80.393.3

American Crow Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording American Crow in New Mexico.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Stinking Lk.3819991992
Angel Fire1420021992
Escondida1320132013
Ojo Sarco1020241968
Capulin919941993
Dulce720242000
Wagon Mound619731973
Angel Fire 2620242005
Gallinas620241992
Floyd520242008
Carrizozo420241974
Pinon420241994
Cebolla320231973
Sedan319941994
Bluewater Lake320151999
Cloudcroft220011993
Maxwell220192015
Rosebud220031995
Reserve220231993
Laborcita220071998
Farley120161987
Grenville120111989
La Cienega120221968
Pecos120161973
Fence Lake120231978

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.