BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow Population Trend in New York

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in New York has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+17%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
129Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in New York. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in New York is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 40 (95% range 29–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
40Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
29–5295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±59.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in New York is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 40 (95% range 29–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025402852
2026402852
2027402852
2028402852
2029402952

American Crow Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording American Crow in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gainesville11420231967
Jones Beach8720131966
Oneonta8620241968
Castile7020241967
Bedford6519961967
Number Four5820161967
Dryden5620241966
Catskills5520151967
Milford5520231978
Mt Morris5420241967
Nashville5420181967
Orleans5320241967
East Java5320231967
Swain5220071967
Canadice L5220241968
Centerville5120151967
West Bangor5119991990
Naples4920241966
Ballston Lk4719951967
Churchville4720241968
S Vandalia4720171966
Mendon4620241967
Watertown4620121967
Clinton4520131969
N Victory4519721967

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.