BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow Population Trend in New York

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in New York has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+17%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
129Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in New York. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in New York is projected to rise about 37% by 2030 — from 29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 40 (95% range 28–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
40Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
28–5295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±48.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in New York is projected to rise about 37% by 2030 — from 29 in 2025 to a central estimate of 40 (95% range 28–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026392751
2027392752
2028402752
2029402752
2030402852

American Crow Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording American Crow in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gainesville11420231967
Jones Beach8720131966
Sheridan7820251966
Castile7120251967
Bedford6519961967
Mt Morris6120251967
Dryden6020251966
Orleans5820251967
Number Four5820161967
Naples5620251966
Catskills5520151967
East Java5520251967
Milford5520231978
Nashville5420181967
Swain5220071967
Centerville5120151967
West Bangor5119991990
Canadice L4920251968
Ballston Lk4719951967
Duanesburg4720251966
Churchville4720251968
S Vandalia4720171966
Meridale4620251967
Oneonta4620251968
Mendon4620241967

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.