BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in Arkansas has edged up: up 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+20%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in ArkansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Arkansas. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Arkansas is projected to rise about 48% by 2030 — from 24 in 2025 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 22–47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+48%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
35Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
22–4795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±42.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Arkansas is projected to rise about 48% by 2030 — from 24 in 2025 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 22–47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026352247
2027352247
2028352247
2029352247
2030352247

American Crow Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording American Crow in Arkansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Compton9220221967
Lockesburg8520192010
Stamps6620241967
Hollywood6420241967
Zion6220251967
Russell5820212010
Blakely5519991968
Coal Hill5420231967
Princeton 25320222022
Augusta 25120162002
Stark4920251967
Ravenden Springs4920152010
Marshall4720212011
Fulton4620251967
Rupert4520241967
Rudy4320252011
Crows4219911967
Springhill4120222010
Nance4120251992
Havana4020212010
Stephens4020252010
Ashdown3820231967
Ramsey3719971967
Lurton3420231967
Farwell3420182010

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.