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Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in Arkansas has increased: up 27% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+27%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in ArkansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Arkansas. See the full index history below.

American Crow Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Arkansas is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 36 (95% range 24–48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–4895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Arkansas is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 36 (95% range 24–48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025362348
2026362348
2027362448
2028362448
2029362448

American Crow Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording American Crow in Arkansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Compton9220221967
Zion8520241967
Lockesburg8520192010
Stamps6620241967
Hollywood6420241967
Russell5820212010
Stark5720241967
Blakely5519991968
Coal Hill5420231967
Rudy5420242011
Princeton 25320222022
Augusta 25120162002
Ravenden Springs4920152010
Nance4920241992
Stephens4820242010
Marshall4720212011
Rupert4520241967
Fulton4420241967
Crows4219911967
Yellville4120222010
Springhill4120222010
Havana4020212010
Ashdown3820231967
Ramsey3719971967
Lurton3420231967

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.