BirdAnalyst
Species · North Carolina · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesGeneralists

American Crow in North Carolina has risen sharply: up 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+59%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
112Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Crow Trends in North CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

American Crow has risen sharply in North Carolina: up 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Crow Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 46 (95% range 37–54). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
37–5495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 46 (95% range 37–54). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026443653
2027453753
2028453753
2029453754
2030463754

American Crow Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording American Crow in North Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dudley9620252002
Speed9120251966
Genoa8220251990
Sturgills7920252001
Youngsville7820251966
Montague7720251990
Dortches7720251990
Rheasville7520172005
California7120131972
Ernul7120092001
Myrtle Grove6820251966
Pinetops6820241997
Cypress Lakes6820252004
Jackson6720171995
Wards Corner6620241966
Jamesville6620251983
Rowland6320241990
Climax6220251966
Eden6220251987
Durham6220251990
Goldston6220222001
Lloyd Xroads6020241990
Lake Surf5720251998
Mooresville 25520252006
Bullock5520251997

American Crow Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.