Guild · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Grassland Birds In New York
11 species in this guild. As a group they are -57% since 1968.
Guild Signals
guild collapsecomputed index
Grassland birds as a group have fallen sharply in New York, down 57% since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Grassland birds in New York is projected to fall about 43% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.26–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-43%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.26–2.195% range
±38.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.48 | 2.3 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.42 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.37 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.31 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.26 | 2.1 |
Member Species In New York
| Northern Bobwhite | Odontophoridae | -99% |
| Ring-necked Pheasant | Phasianidae | -99% |
| Upland Sandpiper | Scolopacidae | -96% |
| Grasshopper Sparrow | Passerellidae | -93% |
| Eastern Meadowlark | Icteridae | -90% |
| Vesper Sparrow | Passerellidae | -87% |
| Henslow's Sparrow | Passerellidae | -82% |
| Savannah Sparrow | Passerellidae | -50% |
| Bobolink | Icteridae | -36% |
| Horned Lark | Alaudidae | -35% |
| Sedge Wren | Troglodytidae | -7% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.