BirdAnalyst
Guild · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Grassland Birds In Arkansas

All statesArkansas

6 species in this guild. As a group they are -62% since 1969.

Guild Signals

guild collapsecomputed index

Grassland birds as a group have fallen sharply in Arkansas, down 62% since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Grassland birds in Arkansas is projected to fall about 52% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.00–6.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-52%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.395% range
±26.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.10.007.3
20262.90.007.0
20272.60.006.8
20282.40.006.6
20292.20.006.3

Member Species In Arkansas

Grassland birds species in Arkansas.
Northern BobwhiteOdontophoridae-93%
Eastern MeadowlarkIcteridae-82%
Lark SparrowPasserellidae-63%
Grasshopper SparrowPasserellidae-42%
Horned LarkAlaudidae-24%
DickcisselCardinalidae+30%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.