Species · South Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Tricolored Heron Population Trend in South Carolina
Tricolored Heron in South Carolina has fallen sharply: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-61%Since 1970
6Routes In State
32Years
Notable Tricolored Heron Trends in South Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Tricolored Heron has fallen sharply in South Carolina: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Tricolored Heron Population Forecast in South Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Tricolored Heron in South Carolina is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-62%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3195% range
±63.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| 2029 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
Tricolored Heron Survey Routes in South Carolina
| Kiawah Island | 4 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Holly Hill | 2 | 1980 | 1975 |
| Walterboro | 2 | 1975 | 1971 |
| Johns Isle | 1 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Hardeeville | 1 | 1973 | 1968 |
| Dale | 1 | 2023 | 2005 |
Tricolored Heron Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.