Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swallow-tailed Kite Population Trend in Alabama
Swallow-tailed Kite in Alabama has surged: up 75% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
+75%Since 1988
22Routes In State
26Years
Notable Swallow-tailed Kite Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Swallow-tailed Kite has surged in Alabama: up 75% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
Swallow-tailed Kite Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Swallow-tailed Kite in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+1%Change by 2028
0.07Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.1595% range
±53.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| 2025 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| 2026 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
Swallow-tailed Kite Survey Routes in Alabama
| Gainestown Ferry | 6 | 2012 | 1999 |
| Riderwood | 4 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Madrid | 4 | 2023 | 2013 |
| Grove Hill | 3 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Chacaloochee Bay | 3 | 2019 | 2009 |
| Warrior Std | 2 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Fairview | 2 | 2021 | 2002 |
| Bay Minette | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Alabama Pt 2 | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Elberta | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Harrell | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Wallsboro | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Brundidge | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Brantley | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| South | 1 | 2010 | 2002 |
| Mclellan | 1 | 2011 | 2010 |
| Latham | 1 | 1978 | 1972 |
| Millry | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Escatawpa | 1 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Mt. Gilead | 1 | 2023 | 2009 |
| Gastonburg | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Claiborne | 1 | 2013 | 2004 |
Swallow-tailed Kite Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.