BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Spotted Sandpiper Population Trend in Ohio

All statesShorebirds

Spotted Sandpiper in Ohio has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-39%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
32Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Spotted Sandpiper Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Spotted Sandpiper in Ohio. See the full index history below.

Spotted Sandpiper Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Spotted Sandpiper in Ohio is projected to fall about 75% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-75%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±90%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Spotted Sandpiper in Ohio is projected to fall about 75% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.13
20260.030.000.13
20270.020.000.13
20280.020.000.12
20290.020.000.12

Spotted Sandpiper Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Spotted Sandpiper in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Peru319691967
Napoleon220241970
Kingsway220141966
Ashley220092009
Garrettsvile219881978
New Marshfld219741969
Limestone220061986
Hiram220181996
Lockport119891968
Kunkle120031996
Graytown119781969
N Baltimore120191982
Pittsfield120122003
Bismark119951972
Wayland120121995
Middlefield120081967
Lenox119851967
Herner Crns119871987
Kalida120192016
No Kenton119961989
Fulton120171967
Adamsville119761976
Smithfield120241972
New Somerset119881975
Dunlap119661966

Spotted Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.