BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Spotted Sandpiper Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesShorebirds

Spotted Sandpiper in Nebraska has surged: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+114%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
35YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Spotted Sandpiper Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Spotted Sandpiper in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Spotted Sandpiper Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Spotted Sandpiper in Nebraska is projected to fall about 34% by 2030 — from 0.07 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-34%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.04Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±68.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Spotted Sandpiper in Nebraska is projected to fall about 34% by 2030 — from 0.07 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.050.000.16
20270.050.000.16
20280.050.000.16
20290.040.000.16
20300.040.000.16

Spotted Sandpiper Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Spotted Sandpiper in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sumner320241975
Stratton220162016
Irvington219741972
Richland220252019
Belvidere120102007
Oglala Nat. Grass.120112011
Kenesaw120012001
Kearney120191970
Holbrook119691969
Surprise120252017
Dalton119741974
Thurston120232023
Eagle Creek120231986
Midway119761976
Johnstown120192011
Gordon120041982
Arthur120212021
Brownlee120081995
Tilden120192019
Maxwell120182018
Gretna 2120252023

Spotted Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.