BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Spotted Sandpiper Population Trend in New York

All statesShorebirds

Spotted Sandpiper in New York has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-92%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
91Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Spotted Sandpiper Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Spotted Sandpiper has collapsed in New York: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Spotted Sandpiper Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Spotted Sandpiper in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±356%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±356%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Spotted Sandpiper in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±356%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.000.000.20
20260.000.000.20
20270.000.000.20
20280.000.000.20
20290.000.000.20

Spotted Sandpiper Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Spotted Sandpiper in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Watertown3620091969
Laurens319761969
Oriskany Fls319711967
Swain319751967
Warwick 2320111978
W Shokan219921987
Ballston Lk219691968
S Berne219671967
Oneonta219821968
Lisle219831967
Cattaraugus220051968
Sheridan219901990
Churchville220221970
Cicero Ctr220171966
Argyle219881968
Parishville219711971
West Bangor219901990
Willsboro219731970
Oxford 2219901978
Westhampton119751975
Huntington119861981
Rhinebeck119751968
Highland120041977
Mt Hope119701967
Austerlitz119871985

Spotted Sandpiper Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.