Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rusty Blackbird

IcteridaeWetland birdsEuphagus carolinus

Rusty Blackbird has increased: up 48% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+48%Since 1968
132Routes
58Years Surveyed

About the Rusty Blackbird

A boreal-breeding blackbird of wooded swamps and wet woods, the Rusty Blackbird has suffered one of the steepest declines of any North American bird.

Size
8.5–10 in long, about 2.1 oz (21–25 cm, 60 g)
Habitat
Marshes, ponds, lakeshores and other freshwater wetlands.
Diet
Insects and aquatic invertebrates, plus seeds and waste grain.
Range
Recorded on 132 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 8 states, most concentrated in the Atlantic Northern Forest.
Family
Icteridae · Wetland birds
Conservation
Vulnerable

Notable Rusty Blackbird Trends

No notable trend signals for Rusty Blackbird. See the full index history below.

Rusty Blackbird Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rusty Blackbird is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.01–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.010.0395% range
±90.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.010.03
20260.020.010.03
20270.020.010.03
20280.020.010.03
20290.020.010.03

Where the Rusty Blackbird Is Detected

BBS routes recording Rusty Blackbird, sized by most recent count.

Rusty Blackbird Population Trend by State

Rusty Blackbird population trend by state.
Alaska-32%197667
Maine-88%196829
Michiganinsufficient datan/a1
Minnesotainsufficient datan/a4
New Hampshire-69%19688
New Jerseyinsufficient datan/a1
New York+61%197115
Vermontinsufficient datan/a7

Rusty Blackbird Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Rusty Blackbird population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
BCR 2-88%198713
BCR 4-15%198346
Northern Pacific Rainforest-61%19828
Atlantic Northern Forest-79%196857

Rusty Blackbird Conservation Status

Vulnerable

The IUCN Red List rates this species as Vulnerable. Our route-weighted index shows it up about 48% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.