Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rusty Blackbird Population Trend in New York
Rusty Blackbird in New York has risen sharply: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+61%Since 1971
15Routes In State
26Years
Notable Rusty Blackbird Trends in New York
No notable trend signals for Rusty Blackbird in New York. See the full index history below.
Rusty Blackbird Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Rusty Blackbird in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2022, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2022
0.03Projected 2022 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±60.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2019 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2020 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2021 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2022 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
Rusty Blackbird Survey Routes in New York
| Speculator | 6 | 1977 | 1975 |
| Sabattis | 4 | 1971 | 1970 |
| Balmat | 3 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Degrasse | 2 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Wanakena | 2 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Underwood | 2 | 1988 | 1967 |
| Horseshoe L. | 2 | 2013 | 1994 |
| S Horicon | 2 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Dexter Lake | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Gabriels | 1 | 2016 | 2013 |
| St Regis Fls | 1 | 2017 | 1987 |
| Highmarket | 1 | 1991 | 1981 |
| Ellenburg | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Old Forge | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Newcomb | 1 | 1996 | 1973 |
Rusty Blackbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.