Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rusty Blackbird In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regions Atlantic Northern Forest Generalists

Rusty Blackbird in Atlantic Northern Forest has collapsed: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-79%Since 1968

57Routes In Region

46Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rusty Blackbird has collapsed in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rusty Blackbird in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2024

0.01Projected 2024 index

0.00–0.0995% range

±72.7%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% high
2020	0.01	0.10
2021	0.01	0.10
2022	0.01	0.09
2023	0.01	0.09
2024	0.01	0.09

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Rusty Blackbird in Atlantic Northern Forest.

Speculator	NEW-YORK	6	1977
Priestly Br.	MAINE	4	2000
Baker Lake 2	MAINE	4	2010
Milan	NEW-HAMPSHIRE	4	1973
Sabattis	NEW-YORK	4	1971
Cooper	MAINE	3	1979
Pillsbury Pd	MAINE	3	1968
Heron Lake	MAINE	3	1998
South Arm	MAINE	2	1988
Harmony	MAINE	2	2011
Wytopitlock	MAINE	2	1978
Clayton Lake	MAINE	2	2001
Big Twenty	MAINE	2	2008
Yankeetuladi	MAINE	2	2009
Fitzwilliam	NEW-HAMPSHIRE	2	1981
S Horicon	NEW-YORK	2	2004
Degrasse	NEW-YORK	2	2017
Wanakena	NEW-YORK	2	2011
Underwood	NEW-YORK	2	1988
Horseshoe L.	NEW-YORK	2	2013
East Haven	VERMONT	2	1975
Greensboro	VERMONT	2	1972
Waterville	VERMONT	2	1980
Wilson Mills	MAINE	1	2016
Bethel	MAINE	1	2019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.