Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rufous Hummingbird Population Trend in Washington
Rufous Hummingbird in Washington has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-65%Since 1970
77Routes In State
56Years
Notable Rufous Hummingbird Trends in Washington
long arc declinecomputed index
Rufous Hummingbird has fallen sharply in Washington: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Rufous Hummingbird Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Rufous Hummingbird in Washington is projected to fall about 58% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.61 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-58%Change by 2029
0.61Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±54.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2026 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Rufous Hummingbird Survey Routes in Washington
| Newhalem | 19 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Montesand | 13 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Cougar | 9 | 2023 | 1968 |
| South Elma | 9 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Raymond | 8 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Mendota 2 | 8 | 2000 | 1989 |
| Mendota | 6 | 1988 | 1977 |
| Mendota 3 | 6 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Port Angeles | 5 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Kendall | 5 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Bay View | 5 | 2016 | 1994 |
| Ozette | 4 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Taholah | 4 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Index | 4 | 1971 | 1968 |
| Neilton | 4 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Cedar Falls | 4 | 2014 | 1992 |
| Pe Ell | 4 | 2023 | 1993 |
| E. Mt. Adams | 4 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Ronald | 3 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Nighthawk | 3 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Suiattle Riv | 3 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Mazama | 3 | 2022 | 1994 |
| Index | 3 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Mt. Adams | 3 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Lake Chelan | 3 | 2023 | 1995 |
Rufous Hummingbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.