Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rufous Hummingbird Population Trend in Alaska
Rufous Hummingbird in Alaska has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
-85%Since 1977
28Routes In State
44Years
Notable Rufous Hummingbird Trends in Alaska
long arc declinecomputed index
Rufous Hummingbird has collapsed in Alaska: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Rufous Hummingbird Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Rufous Hummingbird in Alaska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.38 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-2%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±39%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
Rufous Hummingbird Survey Routes in Alaska
| Zarembo | 10 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Hyder | 8 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Kuiu Island | 7 | 2010 | 2004 |
| Beaver Creek | 7 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Yakutat (Short) | 5 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Mitkof Isle | 5 | 2022 | 1988 |
| Haines | 3 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Hoonah | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Whale Pass | 3 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Sitka (Short) | 3 | 1992 | 1984 |
| Sitka | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Stikine River | 2 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Craig | 2 | 2018 | 1991 |
| Chichagof Is | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Petersburg | 2 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Thorne Bay | 2 | 2007 | 1991 |
| Juneau Alt | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Juneau | 1 | 2019 | 1984 |
| Ketchikan | 1 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Skagway | 1 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Cordova | 1 | 2022 | 1983 |
| Kenny Lake | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Harlequin L. | 1 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Copper River | 1 | 2011 | 2005 |
| Thorne Bay 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2013 |
Rufous Hummingbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.