Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Purple Finch Population Trend in Massachusetts
Purple Finch in Massachusetts has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-84%Since 1968
29Routes In State
58Years
Notable Purple Finch Trends in Massachusetts
long arc declinecomputed index
Purple Finch has collapsed in Massachusetts: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Purple Finch Population Forecast in Massachusetts
If the recent trend holds, Purple Finch in Massachusetts is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±163.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-15%Change by 2029
0.40Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±163.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Purple Finch Survey Routes in Massachusetts
| Chilmark | 6 | 1981 | 1969 |
| Brockton | 6 | 2015 | 1969 |
| Cummington | 6 | 2014 | 1968 |
| Hancock | 4 | 2015 | 1997 |
| N Oxford | 3 | 1979 | 1968 |
| Holden | 3 | 2024 | 1977 |
| N. Andover | 3 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Prattville | 2 | 2005 | 1966 |
| Chesterfield | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Pittsfield | 2 | 2016 | 1968 |
| Cummington 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2015 |
| E Dennis | 1 | 2000 | 1969 |
| Marion | 1 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Wellfleet | 1 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Newburyport | 1 | 1992 | 1967 |
| Maynard | 1 | 1988 | 1968 |
| Littleton | 1 | 2021 | 1969 |
| Mansfield | 1 | 2004 | 1970 |
| Princeton | 1 | 1976 | 1969 |
| E Pepperell | 1 | 1991 | 1966 |
| Belchertown | 1 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Warren | 1 | 1989 | 1968 |
| S Barre | 1 | 2002 | 1968 |
| N Orange | 1 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Cheshire | 1 | 1988 | 1969 |
Purple Finch Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.