Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Purple Finch Population Trend in Vermont
Purple Finch in Vermont has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-68%Since 1968
26Routes In State
58Years
Notable Purple Finch Trends in Vermont
long arc declinecomputed index
Purple Finch has fallen sharply in Vermont: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Purple Finch Population Forecast in Vermont
If the recent trend holds, Purple Finch in Vermont is projected to fall about 60% by 2029 — from 0.94 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-60%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±60.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
Purple Finch Survey Routes in Vermont
| Waterville | 6 | 1980 | 1968 |
| Hardwick | 4 | 2016 | 1966 |
| Newbury 2 | 4 | 2023 | 2005 |
| North Pownal | 3 | 1993 | 1966 |
| S Reading | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| St Johnsbury | 3 | 2021 | 1970 |
| East Calais | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Hinesburg | 3 | 1988 | 1966 |
| Marlboro | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Stratton | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| S Wallingfrd | 2 | 2014 | 1971 |
| East Haven | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Middlesex | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Newbury | 2 | 2004 | 1986 |
| Landgrove | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Gaysville | 1 | 2012 | 1966 |
| Post Mills | 1 | 2005 | 1967 |
| Shaftsbury | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| W Rutland | 1 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Northfld Fls | 1 | 2013 | 1980 |
| Greensboro | 1 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Fletcher | 1 | 2021 | 1969 |
| Colchester | 1 | 2000 | 1986 |
| Grand Isle | 1 | 2000 | 1972 |
| Stowe | 1 | 2024 | 1988 |
Purple Finch Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.