Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Phainopepla Population Trend in Texas
Phainopepla in Texas has surged: up 94% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+94%Since 1971
23Routes In State
47Years
Notable Phainopepla Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Phainopepla in Texas. See the full index history below.
Phainopepla Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Texas is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±125.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±125.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2029 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Phainopepla Survey Routes in Texas
| Marfa | 6 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Ft. Davis | 6 | 2022 | 2008 |
| Comstock | 3 | 2008 | 1996 |
| Longfellow | 3 | 2019 | 1995 |
| Quitman Canyon 2 | 2 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Bear Mtn | 2 | 2019 | 1989 |
| Devils R Cyn | 2 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Salt Flat | 2 | 2012 | 2003 |
| Sierra Blanc | 2 | 2016 | 2000 |
| Valentine | 2 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Chisos Basin | 1 | 2018 | 1998 |
| Marathon | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Castolon | 1 | 2001 | 1994 |
| Presidio | 1 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Toyahvale | 1 | 2000 | 1998 |
| Quitman Cyn. | 1 | 2009 | 1999 |
| Black Gap | 1 | 2015 | 1994 |
| Shafter | 1 | 1985 | 1970 |
| Canutillo | 1 | 2019 | 1997 |
| Altuda | 1 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Delaware Crk | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Slaughter | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Ozona | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
Phainopepla Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.