Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Phainopepla Population Trend in California
Phainopepla in California has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+17%Since 1970
114Routes In State
56Years
Notable Phainopepla Trends in California
No notable trend signals for Phainopepla in California. See the full index history below.
Phainopepla Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in California is projected to rise about 64% by 2029 — from 0.55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.90 (95% range 0.16–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+64%Change by 2029
0.90Projected 2029 index
0.16–1.695% range
±30.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.89 | 0.15 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 0.89 | 0.15 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.89 | 0.16 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.90 | 0.16 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.90 | 0.16 | 1.6 |
Phainopepla Survey Routes in California
| Pearblossom | 20 | 2019 | 1971 |
| Joshua Tree 2 | 14 | 2016 | 2013 |
| Mt Laguna | 13 | 1987 | 1974 |
| Ventucopa | 12 | 1998 | 1994 |
| Coachella Cn | 11 | 1988 | 1975 |
| Lake Cachuma | 11 | 2016 | 1972 |
| Oak Grove | 10 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Cleveland Nf | 9 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Sawmill Mtn | 8 | 2014 | 1971 |
| Tujunga | 8 | 2021 | 1988 |
| Elsinore Mtn | 8 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Anza Borrego | 7 | 2024 | 1969 |
| White River | 7 | 1992 | 1973 |
| Valley Wells | 6 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Foster Park | 5 | 1994 | 1968 |
| Barstow | 5 | 1995 | 1969 |
| Palo Verde | 5 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Sisquoc | 5 | 2014 | 1970 |
| Lake Hemet 2 | 5 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Kernville | 5 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Iron Mtns | 4 | 2013 | 2007 |
| Auburn | 4 | 1980 | 1977 |
| Anza | 4 | 2004 | 1971 |
| Elizabeth Lk | 4 | 2016 | 1970 |
| Copperopolis | 4 | 2024 | 1972 |
Phainopepla Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.