BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Phainopepla Population Trend in Nevada

All statesArid-land birds

Phainopepla in Nevada has surged: up 354% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+354%Since 1972
10Routes In State
33Years

Notable Phainopepla Trends in Nevada

long arc increasecomputed index

Phainopepla has surged in Nevada: up 354% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Phainopepla Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, Phainopepla in Nevada is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 0.46 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.63 (95% range 0.03–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2029
0.63Projected 2029 index
0.03–1.295% range
±36.1%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.600.001.2
20260.610.001.2
20270.620.011.2
20280.630.021.2
20290.630.031.2

Phainopepla Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording Phainopepla in Nevada.
Nelson720241995
Desert Nwr620192011
Ash Meadows220241996
Meadow Vally220242021
Caliente220162000
Val Of Fire220241988
Jean Lake119991973
Hiko120181969
Beatty120112010
Alamo119691969

Phainopepla Population Trend in Other States

arizonacalifornianew-mexicotexasutah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.