Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Magnolia Warbler Population Trend in Michigan
Magnolia Warbler in Michigan has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1974.
12×Since 1974
52Routes In State
51Years
Notable Magnolia Warbler Trends in Michigan
long arc increasecomputed index
Magnolia Warbler has surged in Michigan: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Magnolia Warbler Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, Magnolia Warbler in Michigan is projected to rise about 101% by 2029 — from 0.49 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.98 (95% range 0.49–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+101%Change by 2029
0.98Projected 2029 index
0.49–1.595% range
±90.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.94 | 0.44 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.95 | 0.45 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.96 | 0.46 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.97 | 0.47 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.98 | 0.49 | 1.5 |
Magnolia Warbler Survey Routes in Michigan
| Ishpeming | 8 | 2023 | 1980 |
| Herman | 7 | 2022 | 1983 |
| Gibbs City | 6 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Ensign | 5 | 2010 | 2006 |
| Ontonagon | 4 | 2019 | 1971 |
| Betchler Lks | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Bootjack | 3 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Ned Lake | 3 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Pine River | 3 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Marenisco | 2 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Crystal Fls | 2 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Big Blue Lk | 2 | 1993 | 1984 |
| Scott'S Marsh | 2 | 2010 | 2006 |
| Gilchrist | 2 | 2021 | 1986 |
| Pleasant Val | 2 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Pickford | 2 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Frederic | 2 | 2001 | 1988 |
| Sidnaw | 2 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Cluster Lakes | 2 | 2010 | 2006 |
| Harrietta | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Bergland | 1 | 2022 | 1979 |
| Maple Grove | 1 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Brocky Lake | 1 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Wilson | 1 | 2009 | 1993 |
| Cunard | 1 | 2004 | 1985 |
Magnolia Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.