Species · Maine · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Magnolia Warbler Population Trend in Maine
Magnolia Warbler in Maine has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-66%Since 1969
74Routes In State
57Years
Notable Magnolia Warbler Trends in Maine
long arc declinecomputed index
Magnolia Warbler has fallen sharply in Maine: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Magnolia Warbler Population Forecast in Maine
If the recent trend holds, Magnolia Warbler in Maine is projected to rise about 163% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±183.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+163%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–1195% range
±183.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.2 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2026 | 5.2 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2027 | 5.2 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2028 | 5.3 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2029 | 5.3 | 0.00 | 11 |
Magnolia Warbler Survey Routes in Maine
| Pillsbury Pd | 66 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Northfield | 46 | 1981 | 1976 |
| Heron Lake | 33 | 2003 | 1983 |
| Grnd Lk Strm | 31 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Big Twenty | 27 | 2008 | 1993 |
| Forest Sta | 26 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Weeks Brook | 21 | 2016 | 1995 |
| Clayton Lake | 20 | 2008 | 1977 |
| Big Twenty 2 | 19 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Yankeetuladi | 17 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Waite | 16 | 1977 | 1977 |
| St David | 15 | 2005 | 1982 |
| Ashland | 14 | 2008 | 1980 |
| Wilson Mills | 13 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Nesowadnehun | 13 | 2021 | 1990 |
| Telos | 13 | 2006 | 1995 |
| Wytopitlock | 12 | 1998 | 1976 |
| Horse Mtn | 12 | 2011 | 1983 |
| Ludlow | 10 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Ft Fairfield | 10 | 2005 | 1993 |
| Andover | 10 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Seboomook Lk | 9 | 2014 | 1978 |
| Moose River | 8 | 2008 | 1983 |
| Carrying Pl | 8 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Topsfield | 8 | 1996 | 1978 |
Magnolia Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.