BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lucy's Warbler Population Trend in Nevada

All statesArid-land birds

Lucy's Warbler in Nevada has surged: up 923% on the route-weighted index since 1989.

+923%Since 1989
7Routes In State
36Years

Notable Lucy's Warbler Trends in Nevada

long arc increasecomputed index

Lucy's Warbler has surged in Nevada: up 923% on the route-weighted index since 1989.

Lucy's Warbler Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, Lucy's Warbler in Nevada is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.11–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
0.88Projected 2029 index
0.11–1.795% range
±72.4%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.820.041.6
20260.830.061.6
20270.850.071.6
20280.870.091.6
20290.880.111.7

Lucy's Warbler Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording Lucy's Warbler in Nevada.
Meadow Vally1820241996
Nelson620241995
Hiko320221969
Ash Meadows220241993
Jean Lake120011997
Beatty120241997
Val Of Fire120241987

Lucy's Warbler Population Trend in Other States

arizonacalifornianew-mexicotexasutah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.