Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lesser Nighthawk Population Trend in Texas
Lesser Nighthawk in Texas has edged down: down 24% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-24%Since 1969
94Routes In State
57Years
Notable Lesser Nighthawk Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Lesser Nighthawk in Texas. See the full index history below.
Lesser Nighthawk Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Nighthawk in Texas is projected to rise about 224% by 2029 — from 0.36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.07–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±91.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+224%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.07–2.395% range
±91.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.07 | 2.3 |
| 2026 | 1.2 | 0.07 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.07 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.07 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.07 | 2.3 |
Lesser Nighthawk Survey Routes in Texas
| Catarina | 34 | 2010 | 1970 |
| Presidio | 29 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Pecos | 20 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Girvin | 18 | 2017 | 1977 |
| Coyanda Draw | 17 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Schroeder | 14 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Encinal | 13 | 2010 | 1969 |
| Casa Piedra | 12 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Pedro Creek | 11 | 2010 | 1996 |
| Laredo | 10 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Mentone | 10 | 2013 | 2008 |
| Castolon | 8 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Catarina 3 | 7 | 2023 | 2019 |
| Progreso | 6 | 2010 | 1995 |
| Montell | 6 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Pumpville | 6 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Kermit 2 | 6 | 2018 | 2005 |
| Rachal | 5 | 1996 | 1967 |
| Kingsville | 5 | 1989 | 1967 |
| Campbellton | 5 | 2018 | 1969 |
| La Pryor | 5 | 2005 | 1969 |
| Comstock | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Black Gap | 5 | 2023 | 1988 |
| El Sauz | 5 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Devils R Cyn | 5 | 2023 | 2011 |
Lesser Nighthawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.