Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lesser Nighthawk Population Trend in Nevada
Lesser Nighthawk in Nevada has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-84%Since 1974
11Routes In State
27Years
Notable Lesser Nighthawk Trends in Nevada
long arc declinecomputed index
Lesser Nighthawk has collapsed in Nevada: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Lesser Nighthawk Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Nighthawk in Nevada is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±175.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3995% range
±175.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
Lesser Nighthawk Survey Routes in Nevada
| Calico Spr | 9 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Illipah | 9 | 1973 | 1972 |
| Dobbin Creek | 5 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Val Of Fire | 3 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Vya | 2 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Jean Lake | 1 | 2010 | 1973 |
| Desert Nwr | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Ash Meadows | 1 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Meadow Vally | 1 | 2001 | 1998 |
| Majors Place | 1 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Beatty | 1 | 2012 | 1986 |
Lesser Nighthawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.