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Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas has held roughly steady: up 5% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+5%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
190Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ladder-backed Woodpecker Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas. See the full index history below.

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.8 (95% range 1.2–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.8 (95% range 1.2–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.71.22.3
20271.71.22.3
20281.71.22.3
20291.81.22.3
20301.81.22.3

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kingsville1520241967
Devils R Cyn1420251994
Loyola Beach 21320252010
Olney1220241970
Sejita1120241994
Campbellton1020241969
Albany1020251971
Henrietta1020221968
Bear Mtn1020251988
Three Rivers1020251994
Millett 21020242013
Rachal920251967
El Indio920071970
Lag Atascosa820251969
Longfellow820251968
Encinal720101969
Harper720251969
San Saba720251969
Raymondville720251970
Indian Mtn720251976
Silver720252002
Mirando City620251970
Eldorado620231975
El Sauz620231993
Loyola Beach620091994

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.