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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+3%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
189Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ladder-backed Woodpecker Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas. See the full index history below.

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.2–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.2–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.71.22.2
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Ladder-backed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Ladder-backed Woodpecker in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Kingsville1520241967
Guerra1420231988
Montell1320241995
Rachal1220231967
Olney1220241970
Sejita1120241994
Campbellton1020241969
Henrietta1020221968
Millett 21020242013
Cavasara Cr.1020231995
Utopia920241969
El Indio920071970
Catarina 3920242018
Hondo820241969
Three Rivers820241994
Encinal720101969
Harper720241969
Ft. Davis720232004
Albany620241971
Girvin620241975
Eldorado620231975
El Sauz620231993
Dripping Spg620231986
Fannin620231998
Loyola Beach620091994

Ladder-backed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.