BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Hooded Oriole Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Hooded Oriole in Texas has surged: up 481% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+481%Since 1972TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
50YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Hooded Oriole Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hooded Oriole in Texas. See the full index history below.

Hooded Oriole Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Oriole in Texas is projected to rise about 122% by 2030 — from 0.12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.14–0.37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+122%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.26Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.14–0.3795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±67.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Oriole in Texas is projected to rise about 122% by 2030 — from 0.12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.14–0.37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.240.120.35
20270.240.130.36
20280.250.130.36
20290.250.140.37
20300.260.140.37

Hooded Oriole Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Hooded Oriole in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Loyola Beach1420091994
Rachal920231976
Agua Nueva920231979
Laredo620231994
Raymondville420251975
Sejita320242010
Indian Mtn320171980
Lag Atascosa220251969
Kingsville220231997
Randado220251991
Mirando City220232007
Catarina219971970
Pumpville220252024
Brite220212021
Guerra220231989
Comstock220121972
Black Gap220181992
El Sauz220152005
Dilley220232022
Zapata119871970
L. Atascosa Nwr120252004
Encinal120021979
San Ygnacio119811981
Dripping Spg120042004
George West120252025

Hooded Oriole Population Trend in Other States

arizonacalifornianevadanew-mexicoutah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.