BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hooded Oriole Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Hooded Oriole in New Mexico has edged down: down 15% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

-15%Since 1993TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Hooded Oriole Trends in New MexicoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hooded Oriole in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Hooded Oriole Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Oriole in New Mexico is projected to rise about 68% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±227.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+68%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±227.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Oriole in New Mexico is projected to rise about 68% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±227.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19832029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.110.000.29
20260.110.000.29
20270.110.000.29
20280.110.000.29
20290.110.000.29

Hooded Oriole Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Hooded Oriole in New Mexico.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Red Rock320241992
Hatchet Peak120222000
Columbus120182002
Gage120162002
Lake Valley120232007
Rodeo119831983

Hooded Oriole Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.