Species · South Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eared Grebe Population Trend in South Dakota
Eared Grebe in South Dakota has surged: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
24×Since 1971
15Routes In State
49Years
Notable Eared Grebe Trends in South Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Eared Grebe has surged in South Dakota: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Eared Grebe Population Forecast in South Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Eared Grebe in South Dakota is projected to fall about 58% by 2029 — from 1.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.78 (95% range 0.00–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±424.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-58%Change by 2029
0.78Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.495% range
±424.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2027 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2028 | 0.77 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
Eared Grebe Survey Routes in South Dakota
| Cottonwood | 27 | 2024 | 1992 |
| S. Pioneer | 14 | 2024 | 1995 |
| White Lake | 5 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Volga | 4 | 1991 | 1985 |
| Harding | 3 | 1986 | 1977 |
| Pioneer | 2 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Ardmore | 2 | 1994 | 1978 |
| Britton | 2 | 2002 | 1980 |
| Cedar Pass | 1 | 1988 | 1967 |
| Maurine | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Geddes | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Lodgepole | 1 | 2014 | 1997 |
| White River | 1 | 2011 | 2009 |
| Conde | 1 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Long Lake | 1 | 2019 | 1971 |
Eared Grebe Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.