Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Ground Dove Population Trend in Texas
Common Ground Dove in Texas has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-51%Since 1969
96Routes In State
57Years
Notable Common Ground Dove Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Ground Dove has fallen sharply in Texas: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Common Ground Dove Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Texas is projected to rise about 104% by 2029 — from 0.68 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.16–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±142.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+104%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.16–2.695% range
±142.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.17 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.16 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.16 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 1.4 | 0.16 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 1.4 | 0.16 | 2.6 |
Common Ground Dove Survey Routes in Texas
| El Sauz | 24 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Hondo | 15 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Guerra | 15 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Raymondville | 14 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Rachal | 12 | 2023 | 1967 |
| San Ygnacio | 12 | 1985 | 1967 |
| Catarina | 12 | 2010 | 1970 |
| Millett | 12 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Zapata | 10 | 1987 | 1967 |
| Millett 2 | 10 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Schroeder | 9 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Mcfaddin | 8 | 2016 | 2006 |
| Dilley | 6 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Three Rivers | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Goliad Prairie | 6 | 2016 | 2004 |
| Encinal 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Devils R Cyn | 5 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Mirando City | 4 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Indianola | 4 | 2002 | 1999 |
| Campbellton | 4 | 2024 | 1970 |
| La Pryor | 4 | 2017 | 1969 |
| San Saba | 4 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Fannin | 4 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Laredo | 4 | 2019 | 1995 |
Common Ground Dove Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.