BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Arizona has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-62%Since 1970
24Routes In State
55Years

Notable Common Ground Dove Trends in Arizona

long arc declinecomputed index

Common Ground Dove has fallen sharply in Arizona: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Common Ground Dove Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Arizona is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 0.34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-68%Change by 2029
0.11Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6095% range
±36.4%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.130.000.62
20260.130.000.62
20270.120.000.61
20280.120.000.60
20290.110.000.60

Common Ground Dove Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Arizona.
Cutter 2520162015
Amado520231993
Pomerene420241968
Patagonia420241969
Ajo 2420192009
Red Rock320141997
Cactus Forest320112002
Portal220242024
Dateland220161998
Peña Blanca220241979
Red Rock 2220162016
Redington220231993
Mcneal220232003
Organ Pipe120212021
Florence119761971
Laguna120031968
Coolidge119841974
San Simon119721972
Palo Verde 2120142014
Alamo Res.120232009
Skull Valley120132013
Araby120211993
Sunizona 2120232009
Casa Grande120211997

Common Ground Dove Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.