Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cassin's Kingbird Population Trend in Texas
Cassin's Kingbird in Texas has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-39%Since 1970
35Routes In State
53Years
Notable Cassin's Kingbird Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Cassin's Kingbird in Texas. See the full index history below.
Cassin's Kingbird Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Cassin's Kingbird in Texas is projected to rise about 85% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.00–0.87). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+85%Change by 2029
0.39Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8795% range
±50.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| 2026 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.89 |
| 2027 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.89 |
| 2028 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.88 |
| 2029 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
Cassin's Kingbird Survey Routes in Texas
| Valentine | 31 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Ft. Davis | 20 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Shafter | 16 | 1985 | 1969 |
| Cornudas | 16 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Van Horn | 12 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Ozona | 9 | 2003 | 1997 |
| Bear Mtn | 8 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Delaware Crk | 8 | 2014 | 1972 |
| Sierra Blanc | 7 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Presidio | 6 | 2012 | 2004 |
| Quitman Canyon 2 | 5 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Marathon | 4 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Leakey | 3 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Quitman Cyn. | 3 | 2008 | 2006 |
| Frankel City | 3 | 2002 | 1976 |
| Marfa | 2 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Castolon | 2 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Toyahvale | 2 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Altuda | 2 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Plains | 2 | 2008 | 1993 |
| Texline | 2 | 2011 | 1981 |
| Chisos Basin | 1 | 2019 | 2008 |
| Pumpville | 1 | 2012 | 2006 |
| Casa Piedra | 1 | 2019 | 1986 |
| Cottonwood | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
Cassin's Kingbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.