BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cassin's Kingbird Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesAerial insectivores

Cassin's Kingbird in New Mexico has held roughly steady: up 2% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+2%Since 1970
71Routes In State
56Years

Notable Cassin's Kingbird Trends in New Mexico

No notable trend signals for Cassin's Kingbird in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Cassin's Kingbird Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Cassin's Kingbird in New Mexico is projected to rise about 46% by 2029 — from 4.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.2 (95% range 4.5–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+46%Change by 2029
7.2Projected 2029 index
4.5–9.995% range
±53.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.94.39.6
20267.04.39.7
20277.14.49.7
20287.14.49.8
20297.24.59.9

Cassin's Kingbird Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Cassin's Kingbird in New Mexico.
Pecos4420171973
La Cienega3920221968
Capitan Mtn.3920171993
Reserve3120231993
Mountainair2120241992
Nageesi1820241968
Fence Lake1820241975
La Plata 21620162014
La Plata1620131990
Maxwell1320241996
Claunch 21320242001
Farley1120241979
Deming1119741968
Salt Lake1120011999
Sedan1120241995
Sabinoso1120211980
Carrizozo1020241968
Variadero1020211994
Pinon1020241992
Ojo Sarco920241968
Magdalena920241997
Salt Lake 2820242002
Dulce820242000
Angel Fire 2820242005
Red Rock820231993

Cassin's Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.