Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown Pelican Population Trend in Alabama
Brown Pelican in Alabama has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
13×Since 1968
6Routes In State
50Years
Notable Brown Pelican Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Brown Pelican has surged in Alabama: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Brown Pelican Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Brown Pelican in Alabama is projected to rise about 308% by 2026 — from 0.85 in 2021 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.00–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±295.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+308%Change by 2026
3.5Projected 2026 index
0.00–7.795% range
±295.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2023 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2024 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2025 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
Brown Pelican Survey Routes in Alabama
| Dauphin Is | 154 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Alabama Pt 2 | 91 | 2019 | 2004 |
| Dauphin Is 2 | 85 | 2019 | 1991 |
| Dauphin Is 3 | 63 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Alabama Pt | 44 | 2003 | 1966 |
| Chacaloochee Bay | 2 | 2019 | 2009 |
Brown Pelican Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.