Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Cowbird Population Trend in Arkansas
Brown-headed Cowbird in Arkansas has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-14%Since 1969
62Routes In State
57Years
Notable Brown-headed Cowbird Trends in Arkansas
No notable trend signals for Brown-headed Cowbird in Arkansas. See the full index history below.
Brown-headed Cowbird Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Cowbird in Arkansas is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.5–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+10%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
6.5–1695% range
±23.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 6.7 | 16 |
| 2026 | 11 | 6.7 | 16 |
| 2027 | 11 | 6.6 | 16 |
| 2028 | 11 | 6.5 | 16 |
| 2029 | 11 | 6.5 | 16 |
Brown-headed Cowbird Survey Routes in Arkansas
| South Bend | 45 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Saffell | 41 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Avoca | 31 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Coal Hill | 29 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Centerton | 29 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Wilson | 29 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Maynard | 28 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Crowley'S Ridge | 28 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Hughes | 26 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Compton | 18 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Lockesburg | 18 | 2019 | 2010 |
| Dell | 16 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Stark | 15 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Harrisburg | 14 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Russell | 14 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Hope | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Zion | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Farwell | 13 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Ravenden Springs | 13 | 2015 | 2010 |
| Marshall | 12 | 2021 | 2011 |
| Havana | 12 | 2021 | 2010 |
| England | 12 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Fulton | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Princeton | 11 | 2014 | 1999 |
| Kelso | 9 | 2016 | 2010 |
Brown-headed Cowbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.