Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Cowbird Population Trend in Oregon
Brown-headed Cowbird in Oregon has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-48%Since 1970
138Routes In State
56Years
Notable Brown-headed Cowbird Trends in Oregon
No notable trend signals for Brown-headed Cowbird in Oregon. See the full index history below.
Brown-headed Cowbird Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Cowbird in Oregon is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 5.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 0.91–6.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-34%Change by 2029
3.8Projected 2029 index
0.91–6.695% range
±18.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 7.1 |
| 2026 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 7.0 |
| 2027 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 6.9 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 6.8 |
| 2029 | 3.8 | 0.91 | 6.6 |
Brown-headed Cowbird Survey Routes in Oregon
| Umatilla | 115 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Salem | 32 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Mt Hood | 22 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Modoc Point 2 | 22 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Fandango Can | 21 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Sparta | 20 | 2001 | 1971 |
| Nicolai Mtn. | 20 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Buchanan | 19 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Garfield | 17 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Bly 2 | 17 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Modoc Point | 16 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Princeton | 16 | 1985 | 1973 |
| Merrill | 16 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Silver Creek | 14 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Fish Lake | 14 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Newbridge | 14 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Coquille | 14 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Green | 14 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Adrian | 13 | 2021 | 1984 |
| Sisters | 13 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Zumwalt | 13 | 2005 | 1995 |
| Deschutes | 12 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Bly | 12 | 2001 | 1973 |
| Chinchalo | 12 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Joseph | 11 | 2024 | 1971 |
Brown-headed Cowbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.