Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-billed Magpie Population Trend in Minnesota
Black-billed Magpie in Minnesota has surged: up 135% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
+135%Since 1980
23Routes In State
46Years
Notable Black-billed Magpie Trends in Minnesota
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-billed Magpie has surged in Minnesota: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
Black-billed Magpie Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Black-billed Magpie in Minnesota is projected to rise about 80% by 2029 — from 0.53 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.95 (95% range 0.46–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+80%Change by 2029
0.95Projected 2029 index
0.46–1.495% range
±68.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.89 | 0.40 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.90 | 0.42 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.92 | 0.43 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.93 | 0.45 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.95 | 0.46 | 1.4 |
Black-billed Magpie Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Erie | 25 | 2017 | 1979 |
| Bagley | 13 | 2006 | 1996 |
| Wylie | 10 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Lake Bronson | 10 | 2011 | 1978 |
| Debs | 6 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Nebish | 5 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Oklee | 5 | 2021 | 1979 |
| Grygla | 5 | 2017 | 1978 |
| Badger | 5 | 2018 | 1978 |
| Lude | 4 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Nett Lake | 4 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Evergreen | 3 | 2022 | 2017 |
| Little Fork | 3 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Pine River | 2 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Waskish | 2 | 2021 | 1982 |
| Blackduck | 2 | 2021 | 2017 |
| Backus | 1 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Floodwood | 1 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Cohasset | 1 | 2022 | 1980 |
| Beltrami | 1 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Mcgregor | 1 | 2023 | 2013 |
| Warroad | 1 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Greenbush | 1 | 2024 | 1994 |
Black-billed Magpie Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.