Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-billed Magpie Population Trend in Alaska
Black-billed Magpie in Alaska has surged: up 98% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
+98%Since 1977
58Routes In State
46Years
Notable Black-billed Magpie Trends in Alaska
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-billed Magpie has surged in Alaska: up 98% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Black-billed Magpie Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Black-billed Magpie in Alaska is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.04–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.04–2.395% range
±17.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.07 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 1.2 | 0.06 | 2.4 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.06 | 2.4 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.04 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.04 | 2.3 |
Black-billed Magpie Survey Routes in Alaska
| Kodiak 2 | 17 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Yakutat (Short) | 16 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Kodiak | 14 | 1984 | 1983 |
| Kachemak | 14 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Cohoe | 14 | 2023 | 2012 |
| Anchor River | 13 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Homer | 9 | 1982 | 1977 |
| Savage | 7 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Kalifonsky | 6 | 2023 | 2012 |
| Toklat | 5 | 2021 | 1983 |
| Sourdough | 5 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Dillingham | 5 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Cold Bay | 5 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Sheep Mtn | 4 | 2017 | 1983 |
| Hope | 4 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Moose Pass | 4 | 1992 | 1983 |
| Slana | 3 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | 3 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Seward | 3 | 1992 | 1984 |
| Goose Bay | 3 | 1982 | 1976 |
| Cottonwood | 3 | 1990 | 1987 |
| Thompson Pas | 3 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Hatcher Pass | 3 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Kenai Lake (Short) | 2 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Maclaren | 2 | 1986 | 1986 |
Black-billed Magpie Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.