Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-billed Magpie Population Trend in Utah
Black-billed Magpie in Utah has fallen sharply: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-60%Since 1970
90Routes In State
56Years
Notable Black-billed Magpie Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Black-billed Magpie has fallen sharply in Utah: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Black-billed Magpie Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Black-billed Magpie in Utah is projected to fall about 36% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.00–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-36%Change by 2029
3.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–9.095% range
±19.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.9 | 0.00 | 9.3 |
| 2026 | 3.8 | 0.00 | 9.2 |
| 2027 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 9.1 |
| 2028 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 9.1 |
| 2029 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 9.0 |
Black-billed Magpie Survey Routes in Utah
| Hanna | 74 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Kamas | 57 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Woodruff | 56 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Moon Lake 2 | 24 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Randolph | 21 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Altonah | 19 | 2015 | 1968 |
| Hill Creek | 19 | 1995 | 1993 |
| Neponset Res | 17 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Hardware Ranch | 16 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Heber Mtn. | 15 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Promontory | 14 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Lost Cr. Res | 14 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Wellington 3 | 13 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Castleton | 13 | 1985 | 1969 |
| Saleratus Cr | 12 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Delta | 11 | 2024 | 1987 |
| E. Bear Lake | 11 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Wellington 2 | 11 | 2011 | 2003 |
| Leamington | 10 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Salt Springs | 9 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Goshen | 9 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Notom | 9 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Gooseberry | 9 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | 8 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Vernal | 8 | 2018 | 2003 |
Black-billed Magpie Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.