Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bell's Vireo Population Trend in New Mexico
Bell's Vireo in New Mexico has surged: up 816% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
+816%Since 1992
14Routes In State
34Years
Notable Bell's Vireo Trends in New Mexico
long arc increasecomputed index
Bell's Vireo has surged in New Mexico: up 816% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
Bell's Vireo Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, Bell's Vireo in New Mexico is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 0.65 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.83 (95% range 0.61–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+27%Change by 2029
0.83Projected 2029 index
0.61–1.095% range
±11.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.74 | 0.52 | 0.95 |
| 2026 | 0.76 | 0.55 | 0.97 |
| 2027 | 0.78 | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| 2028 | 0.81 | 0.59 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.83 | 0.61 | 1.0 |
Bell's Vireo Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Red Rock | 20 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Laborcita | 4 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Rodeo | 4 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Hatchet Peak | 3 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Columbus | 3 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Gage | 2 | 2021 | 2012 |
| Bitter Lake | 1 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Emory Pass | 1 | 1998 | 1993 |
| Queen | 1 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Sabinoso | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Cooley Lake | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Roswell | 1 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Sunshine Wll | 1 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Lakewood | 1 | 2011 | 1991 |
Bell's Vireo Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.