Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bell's Vireo Population Trend in California
Bell's Vireo in California has surged: up 725% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
+725%Since 1976
18Routes In State
30Years
Notable Bell's Vireo Trends in California
long arc increasecomputed index
Bell's Vireo has surged in California: up 725% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
Bell's Vireo Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Bell's Vireo in California is projected to fall about 36% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.03–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-36%Change by 2029
0.12Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.2095% range
±60%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| 2026 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 0.20 |
| 2027 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| 2028 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| 2029 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
Bell's Vireo Survey Routes in California
| Jofegan 2 | 16 | 2024 | 2024 |
| San Ysidro | 5 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Tecopa | 3 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Cp. Pendleton | 2 | 2003 | 1975 |
| Flynn | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Mesa Grande | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Creston | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Moreno | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Oak Grove | 1 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Anza Borrego | 1 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Jofegan | 1 | 2022 | 2015 |
| Coalinga | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Orange Cove | 1 | 1997 | 1975 |
| Atwater | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Cuyamaca Pk | 1 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Poway | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Death Valley | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Wildrose | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
Bell's Vireo Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.