BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Vermilion Flycatcher Population Trend in Texas

All statesAerial insectivores

Vermilion Flycatcher in Texas has surged: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+189%Since 1969
101Routes In State
57Years

Notable Vermilion Flycatcher Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Vermilion Flycatcher has surged in Texas: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Vermilion Flycatcher Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Vermilion Flycatcher in Texas is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.54 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.61 (95% range 0.34–0.89). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2029
0.61Projected 2029 index
0.34–0.8995% range
±15.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.590.310.87
20260.590.320.87
20270.600.320.88
20280.610.330.88
20290.610.340.89

Vermilion Flycatcher Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Vermilion Flycatcher in Texas.
Utopia2620241969
Eldorado1020231975
Leakey920241994
Harper820241969
Catarina 3620242018
Montell520241995
Dripping Spg420241992
Rachal320231970
George West320241969
La Pryor320171971
Bear Mtn320242015
Guerra320181988
Laredo320162002
Langtry320002000
Allen Creek320241996
Ft. Stockton320122004
Toyahvale320191997
Quitman Cyn.320082000
Ft. Davis320232019
Zapata219871969
Encinal220061969
Campbellton220231979
Stowell219711971
Hondo220241969
Valley Spgs220191967

Vermilion Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradolouisiananevadanew-mexicooklahomautah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.